Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.335483 0.389332 0.446093 0.510105 0.580011 0.653771 0.737216
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.262333 0.336253 0.419092 0.517703 0.630798 0.755421 0.902093
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.200048 0.283753 0.383403 0.508164 0.657627 0.828534 1.036323
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.164601 0.256576 0.372205 0.523378 0.711091 0.932134 1.207687
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.128366 0.221905 0.346510 0.516714 0.735564 1.000516 1.338500
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.110650 0.208980 0.346408 0.540765 0.797448 1.114697 1.526258
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.089560 0.187227 0.331212 0.542536 0.829462 1.191585 1.669270
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072759 0.168768 0.317987 0.544834 0.860785 1.267115 1.811090
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.061689 0.157525 0.313687 0.558383 0.906541 1.361261 1.977338
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053444 0.149565 0.313183 0.576581 0.958384 1.463697 2.155283
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.046334 0.142233 0.312612 0.594008 1.009002 1.564938 2.332808
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.037138 0.128526 0.299819 0.591611 1.030799 1.627491 2.460380
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030644 0.119241 0.293877 0.599810 1.068660 1.713514 2.621829
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023427 0.106031 0.279279 0.593024 1.083982 1.768745 2.743184
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016436 0.090506 0.258124 0.573664 1.079273 1.795555 2.826395
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013400 0.084969 0.255513 0.584769 1.120362 1.886565 2.996972
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009453 0.074391 0.241102 0.574399 1.127733 1.929694 3.102699
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008251 0.073107 0.246163 0.598247 1.188645 2.049747 3.314859
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006084 0.066540 0.238669 0.598967 1.212883 2.117291 3.455340
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.004421 0.060783 0.232098 0.600717 1.238435 2.186771 3.598968
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.003500 0.058024 0.232226 0.614751 1.283855 2.285591 3.784241
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002878 0.056473 0.235077 0.633893 1.337775 2.397326 3.988385
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.054865 0.237554 0.652299 1.390730 2.508168 4.192201